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blackhawk This member has been banned. See the banlist for more information.
Location: Mission Control Total Likes: 3996 likes
UER newbie
| | | | Re: OT - Coronavirus and a comunity question < Reply # 181 on 3/12/2020 10:08 PM >
| | | Nothing is for sure with a pathogen. It has killed young healthy people. If it gets going like the Spanish flu pandemic, it should be treated as we treat the common flu; no quarantine. At some point as the numbers of infected rise quarantining will become pointless. Those most vulnerable need to be quarantined from the general population. The inverse of that in a bad pandemic will quickly become unworkable. Expect at least 10% of those infected to break quarantine... no joke. Even 1% would skew the quarantine plan to hell. I believe it's far too contagious and robust to keep in check now. Had China not been so slovenly it probably could have been contained... too late. https://thehill.co...thal-than-seasonal https://www.foxnew...lions-expert-warns
[last edit 3/12/2020 10:14 PM by blackhawk - edited 1 times]
| Just when I thought I was out... they pulled me back in. |
| Abby Normal
Location: Las Vegas Gender: Female Total Likes: 845 likes
| | | | Re: OT - Coronavirus and a comunity question < Reply # 182 on 3/12/2020 10:13 PM >
| | | Posted by mookster
We've got a comparatively low number of confirmed cases compared to mainland Europe, which I believe is one of the reasons why Trump hasn't included the UK or Ireland in the current travel bans however as with everywhere the number of 'real' cases is likely to be many orders of magnitude higher than the 'official' cases. Our official number of cases is just below 500 right now, rising by about 120 a day, with 10 deaths (all elderly with underlying health issues), it's obviously set to rise quite dramatically in the next couple of weeks. The UK government has taken the stance of 'slow and steady' when it comes to their preventative measures, they know they can't contain it but it's a matter of pushing back the peak of the cases to a time when the NHS is better suited to deal with them as regular seasonal flu cases will begin to drop dramatically right about now. They've advised anyone with a persistent cough and fever within the next couple of weeks to isolate themselves from everyone, people have been concerned saying they aren't doing enough but the trouble is you put in measures too fast and too soon - like closing schools - and it 1) doesn't get rid of it effectively as cases spike when the restrictions are removed and 2) people get fed up of it and are more likely to push back.
| Thanks for the update. There will always be those who criticize government for not doing enough, or doing too much. There was a line in Men In Black something to the effect that "Individuals are smart. People are stupid." In a lot of ways, that's true right now. Hopefully the politicians won't use this as an "opportunity" (although some already are) and people will follow the expert's advice. It's my nature to be a bit skeptical. I don't like to be a sheet, but this has the potential to be a real human tragedy. Hopefully it won't parallel with Spanish Flu of 1918 in reach or mortality. Abby
| "Government is not a solution to our problem, government is the problem." Ronald Reagan |
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